Tag Archives: Yuan

China: job seekers outnumber available jobs by two to one in 2010


China: Employment Situation ‘Very Grave’ – Spokesman
September 10, 2010

China’s employment situation is “very grave,” with job seekers outnumbering jobs by two to one in 2010, Chinese Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security spokesman Yin Chengji said Sept. 10, Xinhua reported. Yin said 12 million jobs were available this year for 24 million people, including 6.3 million new college graduates and 6 million high school graduates. Beijing must help shift people from rural areas to cities, Yin said. There is also an issue with structural unemployment, Yin said, adding that Beijing will continue to prioritize employment. At the end of 2009, China’s urban unemployment rate was 4.3 percent, with 9.21 million unemployed, according to a Human Resources white paper.


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McDonald’s Sets Benchmark for China With Yuan Bond Sale – Bloomberg



McDonald’s Sells Yuan Bonds in Benchmark for China

McDonald’s Corp.’s yuan bond sale, the first by a foreign company, paves the way for a new global debt market as China seeks to capitalize on its status as the engine of the world’s economic recovery.
McDonald’s, which opened its first 1,000 restaurants in China faster than any other country outside the U.S., sold 200 million yuan ($29 million) of 3 percent notes due in September 2013. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world’s largest retailer, has said it plans to issue such notes.
China, the fastest-growing major economy, changed its rules in February to allow foreign companies to issue yuan-denominated bonds through Hong Kong as part of efforts to strengthen the former British colony’s position as a financial center and promote its currency for global commerce. Yuan bonds issued by Chinese companies have returned 6 percent this year, their best performance since 2005, according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch index tracking 1.38 trillion yuan of debt.
“This is going to become a popular trend,” said Donald Straszheim, a Los Angeles-based senior managing director and head of China research at International Strategy & Investment Group. “There are hundreds of global companies wanting to do more business in China and they will want to be involved in the country’s evolving credit market.”
Oak Brook Illinois-based McDonald’s issue, the first by a non-financial company outside China and Hong Kong, follows a 1.38 billion-yuan deal by Gordon Wu’s Hopewell Highway Infrastructure Ltd. Bank of East Asia Ltd., Hong Kong’s third- largest lender by market value, and HSBC Holdings Plc’s China unit became the first non-Chinese banks to sell yuan bonds with issues through Hong Kong in 2009, Bloomberg data show. Wal-Mart, based in Bentonville, Arkansas, said in March it may issue debt denominated in the Chinese currency.
‘Big Bang’
The McDonald’s bond sale is the result of a “big bang” of reforms that will give foreign investors greater access to China’s capital markets, Nomura Holdings Inc. analysts led by Hong Kong-based Sean Darby wrote in a report on Aug. 18.
Elsewhere in credit markets, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, seeking to force bond investors to bear some costs in future bailouts, proposed that debt counted as bank capital be converted to stock or written off in a financial crisis. Carlyle Group completed the sale of 1.5 billion-euros ($1.9 billion) of leveraged loans.
Regulatory Capital
The Basel committee, seeking to avoid a repeat of the crisis when government assistance to failing lenders helped holders of some subordinated bonds dodge losses, said today that all regulatory capital instruments sold by banks should be capable of absorbing losses if a company can’t fund itself.
Banks’ cost of capital may rise as investors demand compensation for the increased risk they won’t be repaid.
“It looks like the banks are going to be paying more for regulatory capital,” said John Raymond, an analyst at credit research firm CreditSights Inc. in London. “They’ll also have to look for a different investor base.”
Washington-based Carlyle, the world’s second-largest private-equity firm, sold the leveraged loans at an average price of about 90 percent of face value, a person familiar with the matter said. Carlyle spokeswoman Rosanna Konarzewski declined to comment.
Markit Indices
The Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index Series 14, which investors use to hedge against losses on corporate debt or to speculate on creditworthiness, rose 3.25 basis points to a mid-price of 108.9 basis points as of 5:38 p.m. in New York, according to Markit Group Ltd. The Markit iTraxx Europe Index of credit-default swaps linked to 125 companies with investment-grade ratings increased 4.56 basis points to 110.88, Markit prices show.
Both indexes typically rise as investor confidence deterioriates and fall as it improves. Credit-default swaps pay the buyer face value if a borrower fails to meet its obligations, less the value of the defaulted debt. A basis point equals $1,000 annually on a contract protecting $10 million of debt.
Bonds from Fairfield, Connecticut-based General Electric Co. the world’s largest maker of jet engines, were the most actively traded U.S. corporate securities today by dealers, with 118 trades of $1 million or more, Bloomberg data show. Morgan Stanley of New York ranked second with 115.
Dearborn, Michigan-based Ford Motor Co., with 76 trades, was the most active in junk bonds, which are rated below Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service and lower than BBB- by Standard & Poor’s.
Bond Sales
Corporate bond sales worldwide declined 40 percent this week to $31.4 billion, from $52.6 billion in the four days ended Aug. 12, Bloomberg data show. For the year, issuance fell 28.5 percent to $1.91 trillion, from $2.67 trillion.
In emerging markets, the extra yield investors demand to own corporate bonds rather than government debt rose 3 basis points to 271 basis points according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Emerging Market Bond index.
McDonald’s sold its bonds in a private placement to Hong Kong institutional and professional investors, it said in a statement today. “ This gives us access to new funding to support growth in China,” said Lisa Howard, a spokeswoman for the restaurant chain. “We are very confident in the Chinese market and have a strong plan to grow our business in China,” she said. Fitch Ratings graded the 200 million yuan debt A.
175 Restaurants
Money raised will provide working capital for expansion in China, where it will open as many as 175 restaurants this year, according to the statement. “Consumer demand is strong in that part of the world, and there’s opportunity to open up more stores in some of the more inland type cities. It seems like a good move on McDonald’s part,” said Nicholas Reitenbach, New York-based senior international portfolio manager at Wilkinson O’Grady & Co. Inc., which has about $1.8 billion in assets.
A market in yuan-denominated debt issued by foreign companies would give investors the chance to speculate on China’s currency, which is forecasted by economists to strengthen, said Georg Grodzki, head of credit research at Legal & General Investment Management.
“For many investors this type of product would be more appealing and suitable than Chinese corporate credit risk and almost allows a pure currency play with the benefit of some extra yield,” said London-based Grodzki, who helps oversee 300 billion pounds ($468 billion) of investments. “Liquidity in corporate yuan debt remains to be tested and currency convertibility may cause issues. Investors should be mindful of such risks and prepare a plan B.”
Ease Restrictions
China is seeking to broaden use of the yuan, or renminbi, after first approving the currency to settle cross-border trade with Hong Kong in June 2009.
China’s and Hong Kong’s central banks signed agreements on July 19 to ease restrictions on yuan transfers between banks and companies in the city, and also agreed the ex-colony would have no restrictions on yuan deposit holders transferring cash to buy wealth-management products.
The People’s Bank of China in Beijing said Aug. 17 it will let overseas financial institutions invest yuan holdings in the onshore interbank bond market, while keeping limits on the conversion of foreign currency for such investments.
The PBOC set the yuan’s reference rate at 6.7898 per dollar today, little changed from the 6.7895 level the previous day. The yuan has risen 0.5 percent against the dollar since China ended a two-year peg versus the U.S. currency on June 19.
Second-biggest Economy
Yuan 12-month non-deliverable forwards gained 0.04 percent to 6.6785 per dollar as of 4:33 p.m. in Hong Kong today. That reflects bets the currency will appreciate 1.7 percent from the current spot rate of 6.7898. China overtook Japan in the second quarter to become the world’s second-biggest economy and grew 10.3 percent in the first half.
Trading in yuan-denominated corporate bonds issued by Chinese companies rose to $613.77 billion in the second quarter, a 43 percent increase from the previous three-month period, according to the Asian Development Bank in Manila. Chinese companies had $492 billion of yuan debt outstanding at the end of the first quarter, up 67.5 percent from a year earlier, ADB data show.
Yuan bonds have lagged global corporate debt, which returned 8.4 percent this year, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch index data. Japanese corporate debt handed investors 2.5 percent, the data show.
Foreign companies selling bonds in yuan “is a potential growth area,” said Alex Garrard, a partner at BTG Asset Management U.K. LLP in London. “We’ve become aware of some interest among international issuers in other BRIC currencies,” he said, referring to the leading emerging-market nations of Brazil, Russia, India and China.
To contact the reporter on this story: Patricia Kuo in London at pkuo2@bloomberg.net

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