Category Archives: Asia

Commodity Red Flag…


Commodity Red Flag…

The MasterMetals Blog

(BN) Copper Faces 2-Year Shortage, Peak Over $10,000, Trafigura Says


(BN) Copper Faces 2-Year Shortage, Peak Over $10,000, Trafigura Says
2010-12-07 09:29:56.282 GMT

By Claudia Carpenter
Dec. 7 (Bloomberg) — Copper supplies will lag demand for
at least the next two years, with prices peaking over $10,000 a
metric ton in the second quarter next year, according to
Trafigura Beheer BV, which considers itself the world’s second-
largest trader of industrial metals.
Copper will move from a balanced market this year to
shortages of 800,000 tons in both 2011 and 2012 at current
prices, Simon Collins, head of refined metals at Trafigura in
Lucerne, Switzerland, said in an interview yesterday. That’s
even before demand climbs as exchange-traded funds backed by the
metal are introduced, he said.
Such funds “will result in higher prices, which in turn
will affect price-sensitive demand and price-sensitive supply,”
Collins said. “Consumers are concerned about an ETF.
Inventories are already relatively low.”
Copper prices are up 21 percent this year, and reached a
record $8,973.50 a ton today, partly as manufacturers and other
buyers who anticipate shortages build inventories to meet demand
for next year, Collins said. Imports into China, the world’s
largest consumer, typically are strongest in the second quarter,
helping to boost copper prices and leading gains in lead, nickel
and aluminum, he said. Copper stockpiles tracked by the London
Metal Exchange have slid 30 percent this year.
In 2006, the copper market was also forecast to have a
large deficit when higher prices brought the market further into
balance than originally estimated, Collins said. If prices rise,
next year’s deficit may be only 400,000 tons, he said.
Copper Trading
Trafigura trades about 1 million tons of copper a year,
Collins said. Glencore International AG is the largest trader of
industrial metals, according to Trafigura estimates.
Trafigura is preparing for more metals demand by customers
and increasing its warehouse capabilities through its subsidiary
NEMS, with plans to expand in the U.S. next year for the first
time with storage facilities in Baltimore and New Orleans, as
well as in China, Collins said. He declined to give an estimate
of the investment.
Copper demand may rise if JPMorgan Chase & Co., BlackRock
Inc. and ETF Securities Ltd. start ETPs backed by the metal, in
line with plans announced by all three companies in October.

For Related News and Information:
Top commodities: CTOP <GO>
Top shipping: SHIP <GO>
Searches: NSE <GO>
Commodity curves: CCRV <GO>
–Editors: Dan Weeks, John Deane.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Claudia Carpenter in London at +44-20-7330-7304 or
ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Claudia Carpenter at +44-20-7330-7304 or
ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net

Gold extends rally to Globex, trades above $1,410 Metals Stocks – MarketWatch


Metals Stocks
Dec. 5, 2010, 9:33 p.m. EST

Gold extends rally to Globex, trades above $1,410

By Myra P. Saefong, MarketWatch
TOKYO (MarketWatch) — The most-active futures contract for gold climbed as much as $10 an ounce on Globex by Monday morning in Tokyo, poised to extend last week’s rally as investors sought refuge in the precious metal against a backdrop of uncertainty surrounding sovereign debt and U.S. dollar weakness.

The most-active February gold contract climbed as high as $1,416.70 an ounce in electronic trading on Globex. It then pulled back a bit to $1,412.80, trading $6.60 higher in late morning dealings.
The contract had posted a 3.2% gain last week after tacking on nearly $17 on Friday to end at $1,406.20, just short of a fresh closing record. The record close for a front-month contract was $1,410.10 seen in early November. See Friday’s metals story.
The front-month December gold contract was last up $7 at $1,412.40.
“Metals rallied last week as the U.S. dollar turned lower, fears of the sovereign debt crisis intensified after Ireland agreed to a bailout, and some good economic news boosted hopes for increased demand,” Mark Leibovit, chief market strategist for VRTrader.com, said in his VR Gold Letter report dated Monday. “All this uncertainty is driving precious metals higher.”
“Of course, the money creation by the [Federal Reserve] and [European Central Bank] is driving their currencies down and, thus, commodities are rising,” he said.
Adding fuel to the rally was news last week that China’s securities regulator has given the green light to a mutual fund to invest in foreign exchange-traded funds backed by gold. Read more about the gold fund of funds.

Gold extends rally to Globex, trades above $1,410 Metals Stocks – MarketWatch

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